Rebecca Reid
Written By
Rebecca Reid
About the Author
Rebecca Reid is a journalist with over five years of experience in producing content about sports and finance. For the past year, she has been a part of the My Bet Info team, producing educational guides and news to help readers make informed betting decisions. She also closely follows the regulation process of sports betting and its potential implications for the community.
Reviewed By
Justin Fisher
About the Author
Journalist with eight years of experience, Justin spent the last three years demystifying the Canadian betting market. By interviewing experts in the field, Justin has gained the expertise to identify which bookmakers are reliable and which strategies work (or don't!) in sports betting.
Last Update
8 Days Ago

How to Bet on the Over/Under Market for Goals

Cover image for post How to Bet on the Goal Market
How to Bet on the Goals Market
How to Bet on the Over/Under Goal Market

One of the most popular sports betting markets is the Over/Under goals market.

Also known as Over/Under and More/Less, it allows betting on the number of:

  • Sets
  • Games
  • Points
  • Goals

This form of wager is perfect for bettors with a comprehensive understanding of teams' offensive and defensive statistics. It caters to those who possess extensive knowledge regarding the defensive and offensive aspects of the teams involved. It is an ideal option for individuals who are well-versed in the defensive and offensive statistics of the teams. For bettors who are well-informed about the defensive and offensive statistics of the competing teams, this type of bet is highly recommended. This particular type of bet is exceptionally suitable for bettors who have a profound understanding of both the defensive and offensive statistics of the teams.

But not only!

Understanding the unique characteristics of each sport is also crucial. Apart from the weather conditions and the field of play associated with every competition!

To ensure there are no uncertainties regarding how to place bets on the Over/Under market, we have compiled this comprehensive guide. This guide will offer you a clear understanding of the principles behind betting on the Over/Under market, allowing you to make informed decisions. Don't hesitate to consult this guide whenever you need assistance or clarification on how to navigate the Over/Under market effectively. Rest assured, this guide will equip you with all the necessary knowledge and strategies to enhance your betting experience. With the help of this guide, you'll be able to confidently analyze the odds and make smart choices when it comes to betting on the Over/Under market.


Betting on Over/Under entails wagering on the total number of points that will occur in a match. The combined tally of both teams is taken into consideration. The focus lies on predicting whether the final score will surpass or fall short of a predetermined value, thereby determining whether the outcome will be over or under that specific benchmark.

Speaking of points, though, is a bit inaccurate since not every sport operates on a points system. A classic example being Football. However, it's important to note that not all sports revolve around scoring points. Take Football, for instance.

If you fail to grasp this concept, you might make a few blunders while wagering in this industry. Miscomprehension could lead to miscalculations and misguided decisions, ultimately impacting your betting success. To avoid any pitfalls, it is crucial to fully comprehend the intricacies and nuances of this market. Only then can you navigate the complexities and optimize your chances for favorable outcomes. Stay informed, embrace knowledge, and always strive for a deeper understanding before diving into the world of betting.

To avoid any confusion, we will be more precise. Let's provide illustrations of the four main categories within this industry:

  • Soccer
  • Tennis
  • Basketball
  • Volleyball

1. Over/Under in Football

Scoring goals is of utmost significance in the game of Football. It is through these goals that you will place your bets if you choose the Over/Under market.

Let's take the match between Grêmio and Bahia in the Canadian Premier Leagueas an example.

over and under betano market
Example of Beta

As depicted in the illustration, the Football Over/Under is a flexible betting option. It allows you to wager on either the total number of goals or solely on the first half. The image clearly showcases the versatility of this betting market, offering a diverse range of possibilities for football enthusiasts.

Let's say you placed a bet on Over 2.5 total goals. The profit would come if there were at least 3 goals in the entire match.

If it were at Less 1.5, there would only be victory if only 1 goal was scored.

2. Plus/Minus in Tennis

In tennis, we don't have goals as a reference, but rather games. It is worth noting that each match consists of 2 to 3 sets.

The player who wins 6 games first wins a set, as long as there is a 2-point difference between the players.

Therefore, a set can consist of 6 games, 7 games, 10 games, or even more. Just like in soccer, it is challenging to anticipate how many games there will be in a match.

At various BETTING SITES, you have the opportunity to place wagers on the Over/Under in the 1st Set or throughout the entire match. It is a popular betting option that allows you to predict whether the total number of points, games, or sets will be above or below a specific value. This type of bet adds an extra layer of excitement to your overall betting experience. So, if you're looking for a thrilling way to engage with the game and potentially earn some winnings, exploring the Over/Under option at these betting establishments could be a great choice.

market up and down 22bet
Example of 22Bet

For instance, let's say you place a bet on there being Over 9.5 games in the 1st Set, you need at least 10 games to win the bet.

3. Over/Under in Basketball

When it comes to Over/Under markets in Basketball, we can refer to points.

Don't be taken aback when you come across a hefty figure. In basketball, it is customary for the overall score to consistently exceed 100 points.

The number will fluctuate depending on the matchups. Teams with superior offensive abilities tend to score more baskets. The tally will differ from game to game, as it is influenced by the teams' offensive prowess. Typically, teams that possess stronger offensive skills tend to rack up a higher number of successful shots.

over and under market for bodog goals
Example of Bodog

In the above example, you have the option to place your bet either over or under 240.5 points in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Brooklyn Nets. You have the freedom to choose your desired outcome based on your analysis and prediction of the final score. Whether you believe the teams will exceed or fall short of the specified point threshold, this betting opportunity allows you to engage in the excitement of the match and potentially reap rewards. Enjoy the thrill of strategic decision-making and the anticipation of the game's outcome as you immerse yourself in the world of sports betting.

If you place a bet on the Under, it is crucial that the teams do not score more than 240 points in total.

4. Over/Under in Volleyball

Volleyball is a unique case. In this sport, there are points and sets, which opens up more possibilities in the market. As a result, the market offers a wider range of options for volleyball enthusiasts.

over under volleyball

However, not all bookmakers provide this dual possibility. In certain cases, such as Betmotion, they only offer Over/Under for points.

Casas com Over/Under

Now you know how the Above/Below market works in the main sports modalities.

However, that alone is not a guarantee of success. Every bettor must adopt certain attitudes if they wish to excel in this field. Achieving success in the betting industry requires more than just luck. It is crucial for individuals to have a strategic approach and a thorough understanding of the market. Additionally, it is essential to stay updated with the latest trends and developments in order to make informed decisions. Moreover, discipline and patience are key virtues that can significantly impact one's performance. Embracing a methodical and calculated approach will enable bettors to minimize risks and maximize their chances of success.

Even more so in Football, which is highly unpredictable.

One of the key factors is to have a deep understanding of the sport you are betting on. If you have never watched a game of soccer, it would be pointless to place a bet on it.

Study and constantly inform yourself about the discipline and its competitions!

And to assist you in making profitable bets in the over/under goals market, we present below a few foolproof tips on this market.

1. Use The Statistics

betting with statistics
Statistics can help predict the number of goals in a match

One of the most unpredictable markets to navigate is this type. To mitigate this issue and avoid relying solely on intuition, it is essential to leverage statistical data.

Statistics play a crucial role in assessing team dynamics across various aspects, including goal scoring. They provide valuable insights into team behavior and performance. From tracking goal-scoring patterns to evaluating defensive strategies, statistics offer a comprehensive understanding of team dynamics. By analyzing these metrics, teams can gain valuable information to enhance their strategies and make informed decisions on the field.

Did you know that Barcelona scores a lot of goals at Camp Nou? What about away games? And in classic matches?

We understand that gathering specific statistics for each event can be laborious. However, without them, betting in this market is like shooting in the dark.

One way you can approach this is by examining the last five matches of the teams. Take note of the number of goals they have scored. This provides a solid foundation for analysis.

Examining the team lineups is also crucial. It can have an impact if there is a last-minute absence. It's important to take into account any unexpected changes in the squad. The absence of a key player could potentially disrupt the team's performance. Keeping an eye on the latest team news is imperative to make informed decisions.

The websites listed below are excellent sources of statistics. Check them out!

Understand: learn how to use statistics in sports betting.

2. Never Bet on Classics

classics in the goals market
Classics like Gre-Nal are often truncated, ending without goals

Derbies, also known as classics, are not the smartest choice for this market. Opting for these matches might not be the most prudent decision. It is advisable to look beyond the traditional rivalries. Exploring alternative options would be a wiser approach. It is essential to consider other matchups that may offer better opportunities. Steering clear of the classics can lead to greater success in this market.

Matches like these, regardless of the sport, tend to be a game of extremes. They can either be high-scoring affairs or end up in a tight draw with a maximum score of 1-1. The outcome is highly unpredictable, swinging between two contrasting possibilities.

Choosing more obvious matches is the best approach due to the unpredictable nature of these games. Focus on a match where a powerhouse team faces off against a weaker opponent.

This increases the likelihood of accurately predicting the number of goals.

3. Ignore as Odds

The largest odds in this market may not always be available. However, this shouldn't be an issue if you're wise. Play smart and make the most of every opportunity. Don't let the odds deter you from taking calculated risks and seizing favorable outcomes. Stay vigilant, stay sharp, and always keep an eye out for the hidden gems that lie within. A shrewd player knows that sometimes, it's not about the biggest odds, but about the strategic approach that leads to long-term success. Trust your instincts, analyze the situation, and make informed decisions that will set you apart from the rest. Embrace the challenge, embrace the unpredictability, and let your cleverness be your guiding light in the world of odds.

Expert Quotation

Choose a small return, but a guaranteed return.

Therefore, if you observe the possibility of a victory in this market, even if it is small, make a wager! Take the chance and place your bet if you identify the potential for a win, however modest it may be.

NOTE: Check out our article on how odds work.

Analyze the Event in an Isolated Manner.

You've selected the match between Real Madrid and Club Brugge. Real Madrid is far superior to their opponent in every aspect. The quality and skill possessed by Real Madrid surpasses that of Club Brugge by a significant margin. Their experience and expertise on the field make them a formidable force to reckon with. The players of Real Madrid are known for their exceptional talent and have proven time and again their dominance in the game. With their impeccable teamwork and strategic approach, Real Madrid is expected to outperform Club Brugge effortlessly.

We are aware that Real Madrid is even stronger when playing at home. Furthermore, their offensive prowess is formidable. They possess a powerhouse attack that strikes fear into their opponents. It is no secret that the Merengues dominate their home turf, unleashing their full potential and showcasing their unrivaled skills. With an arsenal of talented players, they leave no stone unturned in their quest for victory. Their attacking force is a relentless storm that sweeps through the opposition's defense, leaving a path of devastation in its wake. The combination of skill, strategy, and sheer determination makes Real Madrid a force to be reckoned with, both at home and on the grandest of stages.

The citizens of Madrid, coming off a resounding defeat against an almost entirely second-string PSG team in their previous match, are now required to display their skills and hard work to their devoted fans.

Therefore, by analyzing solely this occurrence, it is possible to anticipate that Real Madrid will strive to achieve a resounding victory.

Betting on over 2.5 goals can be a wise choice in these situations.

At times, it is more beneficial to examine an occasion in isolation. Real Madrid versus Club Brugge serves as a prime illustration of this concept.

The disparity in skill between the two teams is quite significant. Moreover, playing at home, Real's current situation "demands" that they score a multitude of goals.

This is also working with statistics, but in an even more specific manner.

On the websites we have mentioned, such as SoccerStats, you can find comprehensive data on the number of goals scored and conceded in all global leagues. Accessing this information allows you to gain a thorough understanding of the performance of various teams worldwide. These statistics are invaluable when analyzing the strengths and weaknesses of both home and away teams, enabling you to make informed decisions when it comes to betting or simply staying up-to-date with the latest trends in the world of football. Whether you're a casual fan or a dedicated enthusiast, these sites provide a wealth of knowledge that will enhance your overall experience and appreciation of the beautiful game. So why not explore SoccerStats and other similar platforms to dive deeper into the fascinating world of football statistics?

Based on the information and suggestions we have provided, you can develop an effective strategy to profit whenever opportunities arise in this market. With these insights in mind, you have the tools to create a winning approach that maximizes your earning potential. Don't hesitate to leverage your knowledge and adapt your tactics accordingly as you navigate this ever-changing landscape. Remember, staying informed and proactive is key when it comes to achieving consistent success in this industry. So go ahead, seize the possibilities, and capitalize on them to secure your financial gains.

Let's dive into a step-by-step guide, which you can conveniently find on Pinnacle's website. So, without further ado, let's get started!

Step 1: Understanding the Number of Goals per Game

At SoccerStats, we offer the opportunity to uncover the average number of goals per match across all Football Leagues. Explore the vast array of statistical data pertaining to the frequency of goals in every league. We deliver comprehensive insights into the scoring trends, enabling you to make informed decisions and stay ahead of the game. Gain valuable knowledge about the average goal rates across different leagues, empowering you to analyze and compare the scoring patterns across various football tournaments. Stay updated with the latest statistics and elevate your understanding of the game like never before.

The trend is for bettors to focus on the major Leagues. However, statistics indicate that the minor Leagues have more goals.

Among the top 10 leagues with an average of over 3.5 goals per match, none of the major ones, such as the Premier League or Serie A Tim, are included.

over under goals average
The 10 Football Leagues with the highest goal average

With this tool, you gain access to Leagues where goals are abundant and those where scoring is scarce. Discover the competitions where the net bulges frequently and the ones where goals are hard to come by. Explore the Leagues renowned for their high-scoring matches and uncover those that are known for their defensive prowess. Unearth the football tournaments where the back of the net trembles more often and the ones where it remains undisturbed. Delve into the Leagues recognized for their goal-filled spectacles and unravel those that have a reputation for low-scoring affairs.

Gaining awareness of these statistics will provide you with a heightened level of authority over your wagers. You can directly access an occasion with superior odds, granting you an advantageous position.

Step 2: Calculating Goal Probabilities

The next step involves determining the goal probabilities of a match. We utilize the Poisson system for this purpose. The Poisson system allows us to calculate the likelihood of goals being scored in a game accurately. By utilizing this method, we can analyze various factors such as team performance, historical data, and current form to predict the potential outcome of a match. It enables us to make informed decisions and provide valuable insights to our users.

Using the average number of goals scored by a team, we can assess the likelihood of them scoring anywhere between 0 and 4 goals, or even more. This method allows us to determine the team's scoring potential within a given match.

That's why let's go through the practical examples below.

In a game, it is anticipated that the home team will score 1.2 goals, while the visiting team is expected to have 0.8 goals on the scoreboard.

Goal average 0 1 2 3 4 or more
0,8 45% 36% 14% 4% 1%
1,2 30% 36% 22% 9% 3%
1,6 20% 32% 26% 14% 8%
2,00 14% 27% 27% 18% 14%

In this regard, we can determine that it is best to bet on Under 2.5.

However, you can determine the likelihood of the match concluding with the desired number of goals.

over and under odds of goals

Therefore, there is a 67.56% chance that the outcome will be Under 2.5 goals.

Step 3: Confirm if the Odds are Worth It

As mentioned earlier, it is highly advisable to prioritize a lower but more assured odds rather than a higher and highly unpredictable odds. We cannot stress enough the importance of striking a balance between risk and reward. Instead of chasing after overly ambitious odds, it is prudent to focus on securing a more certain outcome. Remember, consistency is key when it comes to successful betting.

Regardless, it's always prudent to ascertain whether the bet in question is worthwhile. Making this determination in the aforementioned scenario is a straightforward task.

Simply divide 100 by 67.56%, resulting in an odd of 1.48.

Therefore, it is optimal to discover a residence that compensates more than this amount. Nevertheless, it must be acknowledged that this cannot be the sole determining factor.

Finding an event where you can be confident that it's worth betting on the Over/Under market is crucial. The key is to identify a situation that offers a secure opportunity for wagering. It's essential to locate a particular occasion that provides a high level of certainty to ensure that your bet is well-placed on the Over/Under market. The most important aspect is to discover an event that guarantees a sense of security, assuring you that it is worth placing your bet on the Over/Under market.

The tips and strategies mentioned above do not guarantee victories in the Over/Under goals market.

What they do is make it easier to discover value bets in that market.

This ensures the safety of your betting strategy, providing assurance that in the long run, there will be more gains than losses. It also guarantees a profitable outcome over time, giving you peace of mind and confidence in your betting plan.

When it comes to betting in the Football market, there are numerous tools and resources at your disposal. You'll find a multitude of options available to enhance your betting experience. From statistical analysis tools to expert predictions, you can explore a variety of avenues to increase your chances of success. Additionally, you can also consider leveraging betting forums and communities to gain valuable insights from fellow enthusiasts. Remember, having access to a diverse range of resources will significantly enhance your betting strategy and ultimately lead to more informed decisions. So, take advantage of the vast array of tools and resources available and maximize your potential in the Football betting market.

Sports statistics are readily available throughout the internet, and sometimes even on the betting websites themselves. You can easily find information on team performances, player stats, historical data, and much more. These statistics play a crucial role in making informed decisions when it comes to sports betting. By analyzing these numbers, you can gain valuable insights into the strengths and weaknesses of teams and players, which can help you predict the outcome of a game with greater accuracy. Whether you're a casual bettor or an avid sports enthusiast, leveraging sports statistics can significantly improve your chances of success. So, next time you're considering placing a bet, make sure to consult the wealth of statistical information available to maximize your winning potential.

There is nothing preventing you from applying what you have learned in other modalities.

If you're knowledgeable about sports like tennis, basketball, or volleyball, you can find excellent value bets outside of football as well. Don't limit yourself to just one sport when searching for betting opportunities. Expand your horizons and explore the diverse range of sports available. By doing so, you'll uncover hidden gems and potentially discover profitable wagers that others may overlook. Remember, the world of sports betting extends far beyond football, so broaden your perspective and seize the opportunities that lie beyond the traditional realm.

This is great for those looking to diversify their betting options while still wanting to wager on the Over/Under market.

Houses to Bet on Over/Under

Frequently Asked Questions


Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked with an asterisk.



Select a maximum of 3 houses.